Bryan Smith over at the great
Baseball Analysts blog takes a look at the top 20 sophmore players for 2006. Robinson Cano checks in at number 16:
Both at Baseball Prospectus and BTF, Cano was given about a 10% chance to turn into Hall of Fame baseball player. This is because what he did last year was remarkable, stepping into baseball's largest stage and taking the spotlight off a position that has caused the Yanks so much grief. Cano is another player that I obviously underrated too much as a prospect, not taking his 100 RBI+ season into enough consideration. But, really, is Cano's ceiling much above his performance in 2005? Do we really see a player that even has the possibility to be better than [Rickie] Weeks? Not for me, at least, as I believe Cano will teeter-totter among being an average second baseman for as long as the Yanks let him.
While Cano's glove may never be anything to write home about (
although he is working on improving his defense), of all ML second basemen, only
3 had a higher batting average in 2005 than Cano. He was also in the top ten in
doubles,
HR,
XBH,
SLG, and
total bases amongst those manning the 4 position. Impressive considering he didn't see his first game until more than a month into the season. With Luis Castillo having to adjust to new pitchers in a new league, and Brian Roberts possibly starting the year on the DL, there's a good chance Cano will be one of (if not the) most production 2B in the game next season.
It was obvious from spring training that Cano could hit. And I think he'll put up comparable numbers this year: about the same average, slightly higher OBP (but not by much, because he'll probably still be a free swinger), with some more home run power.